Data and Forecast| understanding tomorrow today.
Which factors are influencing the momentary macroeconomic situation and which changes are to be expected in the future?
Comprehensive up to date statistical data and other information on the economic situation are the first steps towards reducing uncertainties. We support you with our expertise when you select and interpret the relevant information for your business.
On top of that, we deliver up-to-date forecasts about the macroeconomy. Due to our expertise and experience we regularly identify trends and turnarounds of the economy at a very early stage and analyse the imminent threats and opportunities. It is our ambition and our aspiration to detect and forecast the economic dynamics in Germany and worldwide sooner than others.
How do changing markets influence single enterprises, business areas, and institutions?
Raw economic informations are not sufficient for firms’, investors’, and public institutions’ decisions.
To improve the explanatory power of economic information for our clients, our range of services exceeds a traditional delivery of economic data and global prognoses. We work with an analytical framework, our D*-model, that displays the interdependencies between important macroeconomic entities. A linkage of the mentioned components with data and causalities for special markets, businesses, regions, or other relevant factors allows us to determine the microeconomic implications of economic developments. By doing so, macroeconomic scenarios can be turned into microeconomic analyses of effects. At the same time the macroeconomic drivers of markets and business models are revealed.
Which developments influence economic policy and the public budget?
The state is a relevant macroeconomic actor. Measures of monetary policy and fiscal policy, or changes concerning the labour market or social order can result in a changing economic situation and can have an impact on economic growth as well. By using our analytical tools, you can estimate the effects of political measures and simulate alternative courses of action. At the same time they allow to judge the effects of political decisions and changes at the macroeconomic level on public budgets — even decades into the future if necessary.
Risks and side-effects
Information on the economic situation is forward-looking and therefore inherently uncertain. When considering business decisions, it is important to understand how uncertainties at a global level transform into risks to the microeconomic level, and how these global uncertainties can be transferred to markets, areas of business, and institutions. These effects can be studied systematically with the help of scenarios. In contrast to a forecast which considers just one – the most likely – future development, scenarios take several possible developments into account. Scenarios are therefore an ideal device for anticipating risk analyses. We support your production of scenarios with data, our analytic tools, and our knowledge.
Take hold of our toolbox!
The foundation of our work is our expertise and methodological competence. We would like to hand this competence to you. Consulting projects and surveys are one way for doing so. Another one is our intuitive model software. You can rent our model. Explore for yourself which consequences macroeconomic and global development have an impact on your business. Produce your own scenarios and search for likely investment stories.
The possibilities that our models offer are almost unlimited. Every model can be modified to your needs. We are happy to assist you with latest data, forecasts, assessments, and our expertise and experience — as well as with all our scientific innovation.
Let us start talking! And let us keep talking! The basis for a successful partnership is the continued exchange of ideas. Our offer is essentially dynamic: All performances are continuously improved and adapted to new conditions and needs.